Author: tonu
A Couple of Price Falls Don’t Yet Add Up to a Housing Correction
A Couple of Price Falls Don’t Yet Add Up to a Housing Correction
The Halifax said that prices edged down by 0.1% in July, which had the effect of cutting the annual rate of growth from 12.5% to 11.8%.
Though the fall was “only fractional”, it noted that a slowdown in annual house-price growth had been expected for some time.
And: “Leading indicators of the housing market have recently shown a softening of activity, while rising borrowing costs are adding to the squeeze on household budgets against a backdrop of exceptionally high house price-to-income ratios.”
Another fall, rather larger than 0.1%, was reported by Rightmove, the property portal.
Its August report recorded a 1.3% drop in the average price of properties coming to the market, which fell by £4,795 to £365,173.
Old hands will recall that summer falls in asking prices are by no means unusual and that August is a time when many potential buyers forget the market in favour of buckets and spades or pina coladas.
That is true, as Rightmove pointed out, though it also noted that this was the first fall in asking prices this year, a period which has seen several hikes in interest rates, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with its huge impact on energy prices, Boris Johnson deposed and taxes going up.
So is this the start of something bigger?
Can we expect a sustained fall in prices now under the impact of dire recession warnings, higher mortgage rates and prolonged economic uncertainty?
You can never say never on these things, and the Halifax was right to say that a slowdown in annual house-price growth has long been predicted, including by your columnist.
It is important, however, to read the small print with these things, and this case the small print is mainly reassuring.
The Halifax also pointed out that, while July’s small fall was the first in a year, the fundamentals of the housing market remained strong.
They included the hundreds of billions of “involuntary” or excess savings built up during the pandemic, investment demand and changes in the way people regards their homes as a result of the working from home revolution.
Halifax also pointed, quite rightly, to the shortage of homes coming to the market.
This is a point which was also emphasised by Rightmove, in its small print.
There was, it said, a “massive imbalance” between supply and demand.
Though buyer enquiries are down by 4% on 2021, when the market was red hot, they are 20% higher than in the “normal” year of 2019.
New listings, in contrast, are up by 12% on a year ago, but are 6% down on 2019.
Available stock at agents is 39% lower than it was in 2019.
One agent near me has an impressive array of properties in its window, but all are emblazoned with “sold” signs.
Another perspective on this was provided by RICS (the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors), in its latest residential market survey.
It reported a balance of -25% of surveyors reporting a drop in new buyer enquiries, in other words, significantly more reported a fall rather than a rise.
New listings were also down, though the negative balance was a more modest -5%.
Average stock per surveyor, at 36, was close to an all-time low.
12-month price expectations remained buoyant with a balance of 30% expecting a rise, though this was down from a recent high of 78%.
Adding all this up, what should we conclude?
Demand is softening in the market, but this is at present balanced by falling supply, leaving prices generally well supported.
That may change if the winter ahead proves to be as grim as some fear and if the Bank continues to raise interest rates, as it has indicated it will.
It still looks like a slowdown rather than a big correction, however.
By the end of the year annual house price growth should be comfortably down into single figures.
Expect a few predictions that the dam will break and that prices will fall significantly.
But don’t be at all surprised if, because of some of the factors outlined above, that does not happen.
The market looks resilient.
Council will fine landlords whose properties do not meet minimum EPC ratings
Council will fine landlords whose properties do not meet minimum EPC ratings
Cllr Shayne Cook, the Council’s Cabinet Member for Housing, said “The Council has a dedicated team in place to tackle this issue and support landlords in bringing their homes up to the minimum standard of energy efficiency set out within the regulations.
“Ensuring properties are energy efficient is vital not only in reducing the harm to our environment but also in keeping tenants’ living costs to a minimum and improving their overall health and wellbeing.
“I’m pleased to say that over 90% of landlords in the county borough who have engaged with our officers are working with us to improve the energy efficiency of their homes.
“Enforcement is a final resort for us as a Council, but the approval of this approach comes as welcome news as it provides officers with additional tools, when needed, to tackle this issue.”
Agents report property market ‘returning to normal’
Agents report property market ‘returning to normal’
Supply also remained flat, with the average number of properties available to buy per member branch at 26 in June and the number of new instructions per member branch holding steady at 10 in June – the same figure as the past three months.
Additionally, 72% of member branches told Propertymark that the average time from offer accepted to exchanging contracts in May was 13 weeks or more. This compares with a March figure of only 54%.
Nathan Emerson, chief executive of Propertymark, said: “For the past two years agents have seen a relentless market which defied patterns that we as practitioners had become accustomed to.
“However, this summer is seeing seasonal trends return. This cooling down is allowing the number of homes available to buy to recover, and interestingly, a subtle but telling change is in the prices being achieved.”
Keys to the council – Hill Group gifts SoloHaus to house the homeless
Keys to the council – Hill Group gifts SoloHaus to house the homeless
The gift that will keep on giving
Specifically designed, fully furnished, and equipped for a single person, these homes are ready to move straight into. Each modular home aims to provide a sleek independent space that is safe and comfortable for residents to transition to independent living in more permanent accommodation.
Built to last for at least 60 years, these homes have energy costs of £5 a week and are designed to Future Home Standards, which exceeds building regulations for energy efficiency and sound insulation.
Andy Hill, Group Chief Executive at The Hill Group, said: “We are pleased to be working with Southend-on-Sea City Council and The Salvation Army to gift the first purpose-built modular homes in Essex. We designed SoloHaus to aid vulnerable individuals with nowhere to call home and I am confident that this scheme will be life-changing for many Essex residents.”
Systems in the form of a dedicated staff team from the Salvation Army will work with Southend-on-Sea City Council to provide specialist support to enable residents to adjust and settle into their new homes, as well as prevent the recurrence of homelessness.
Captain Tracey Bale, Salvation Army leader in Southend, said: “We are looking forward to welcoming our first residents into their new homes in Leigh on Sea. People that are transitioning away from homelessness are often the most vulnerable in society, and here at Malachi Southend, they will be able to adjust to life off the streets, which for many, will be the first time in a long time that they will experience a period of calm and hope in their lives.”
Bale concluded: “Residents will have access to 24-hour support and The Salvation Army is working across the public and community sector to deliver wider support to the local area through our work.”
If you are concerned about someone sleeping rough in Leigh-on-Sea, please sign up for the StreetLink service to help them get the support and access services they might need.
For more information on SoloHaus, you can contact Rory Lowings on [email protected].
How real estate can embrace the use of smart-tech
How real estate can embrace the use of smart-tech
Aside from handy productivity boosters, it’s likely that their money saving attributes will have also contributed greatly to the rise in smart-tech appliances. With inflation currently sitting at a 40-year high of 9.1% and energy prices through the roof, households feeling the financial squeeze are looking for ways to offset soaring bills.
Unsurprisingly, homeowners are turning to smart-tech to reduce these costs. Smart thermostats and heating are an effective way to control the temperature of a home – either through a smartphone or voice-activated smart home network. More efficient control over the thermostat will be particularly appealing for consumers when taking into account estimates by the Energy Savings Trust, that turning the thermostat down by one degree can drop energy bills by 10%.
The digital technology that accompanies smart appliances can also monitor and calculate energy efficiency and costs, therefore allowing users to stay on top of their bills. For example, a 4E report found that greater control over the use of energy and lighting through smart-tech could reduce a property’s energy usage by 30%.
Developers must stay on track
The shift in homeowner and investor preferences has come at speed; therefore, property developers and construction companies must remain on their toes when it comes to smart technology.
Keeping up with such trends will be key in increasing the properties’ value. A recent Whathouse? survey found that of 80% of estate agents, smart-tech had helped them sell houses. At the same time, more than 50% has sold property with smart-tech at a higher asking price than comparable properties.
Developers should therefore factor in smart-tech at the construction stage. Doing so will ensure that the integrated systems will work a lot more efficiently than if the tech was to be installed later on, in turn, allowing enabling to remain competitive through higher asking prices.
Moreover, developers will have the opportunity to meet another vital shift in investors’ preferences: sustainability. Recent research from FJP Investment revealed that for 39% of UK homeowners the sustainability and energy efficiency of their property become more important to them since remote working patterns became more normal. As such, embracing smart-tech will be key in ensuring new homes are meeting investors’ sustainability goals.
Since the onset of the pandemic, there has been a clear acceleration of technological and sustainability demands amongst buyers and investors. Clearly, technologies that facilitate a comfortable home working environment and can, somewhat, protect from soaring energy prices have come to the forefront of these introspections. This provides the property industry with an opportunity to assess its current construction procedures and anticipate the future needs of buyers and investors, in order to deliver sustainable and future-proof assets in today’s competitive market.
*Jamie Johnson is the CEO of FJP Investment
Energy price rises may be even higher than previously predicted
Energy price rises may be even higher than previously predicted
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Young adults lie behind growing rental demand, analysis shows
Young adults lie behind growing rental demand, analysis shows
Housebuilder prepares eco-friendly homes ready for extreme temperatures
Housebuilder prepares eco-friendly homes ready for extreme temperatures
“In building this home, Bellway is taking a lead in the housebuilding industry to test technologies to help meet net zero carbon targets.
“However, with many of these innovations, we don’t yet know how they will function for real families in real homes, or what their running costs will be. This is particularly important when energy costs have risen so significantly, and homeowners are being hit heavily in the pockets.
“Energy House 2.0 will enable us to find out how everyone can operate their homes more efficiently and how new technologies can assist our efforts in reducing carbon emissions by building more efficient homes.
“The research will produce reliable data that can help us all to make changes. We will compare the theoretical and real performance of different energy methods, finding out how our habits impact on energy consumption and retention.”
Bellway started work building its energy house last month and the build programme is scheduled to be completed in October
Jamie added: “Many of the technologies we will be testing are due to be in common use in new homes by 2026. This project provides us with the opportunity to test their effectiveness and to create solutions to any challenges we encounter.
“The results will help us to deliver more energy-efficient homes and to advise people on how to make best use of new technology to control energy usage and running costs.”
Energy House 2.0 is one of a series of test sites Bellway has set up across the country to work with new energy efficient technologies.
Currently, four ‘Future Homes’ are being built in Callerton, Northumberland, which will be available for open sale and homeowners will work with Bellway to monitor energy usage as part of Bellway’s wider carbon reduction strategy.
Ban on charging ground rent on leases comes into force today
Ban on charging ground rent on leases comes into force today
The government’s ban on charging ground rent on new leases in England and Wales comes into force today.
From today, anyone buying a home on a new long lease will now be freed from these annual costs.
Landlords are banned from charging ground rent to leaseholders, under a new law that the government hopes will lead to fairer, more transparent homeownership for thousands of homebuyers, helping to level up opportunities for more people.
In preparation, many landlords had already reduced ground rent to zero for homebuyers starting a new lease with them.
Leasehold minister Lord Stephen Greenhalgh said: “This is an important milestone in our work to fix the leasehold system and to level up home ownership.
“Abolishing these unreasonable costs will make the dream of home ownership a more affordable reality for the next generation of home buyers.”
Future measures, announced last year, include a new right for leaseholders to extend their leases to 990 years at zero ground rent and an online calculator to help leaseholders find out how much it would cost to buy their freehold or extend their lease.
Commenting on the changes, CILEX (Chartered Institute of Legal Executives) head of policy, Jonathan Walker, said: “The ban on ground rents is positive news for anyone considering buying a leasehold property and important progress towards ensuring safety and security for all householders.
“Problems still remain however, and it is disappointing that there is no retrospective inclusion of current leasehold tenants within the Act. They will still be obliged to pay their existing rents, even in cases where they are seeing those rents escalate – some doubling every ten years. Those attempting to sell on properties will find ground rents prove unattractive to buyers who now have the option of purchasing a rent-free leasehold property, and many will experience difficulties when looking to remortgage, or extend or vary their existing leasehold.
“Such fundamental changes to the leasehold market must be implemented alongside awareness raising and education amongst both consumers and professionals so that both understand the implications for property transactions.
“It is vital that we see a continued programme of reform that benefits those who are new to the leasehold market whilst not disadvantaging or restricting those currently within the system. We hope to see further measures to address residential leasehold houses and cap ground rent for all existing leasehold properties.”